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DPS

Mar 4th 2020
Final Oil Crisis
Deadlock Protective Systems

World is certain to run out of oil before 2060. The final decline has already began. 
From here you find the calculations. A word of advise is, that ask your scientists to check the data calculations.

Oil is cheap, light, durable and flexible raw material. If you take round trip at your home and car, they are both loaded with oil, plastics polyester, etc.

Traffic consumes around 20 to 30 million barrels oil during one day. The rest is used as raw material. Oil dominates disposal packing systems. Great deal from the used oil is thrown almost directly to trashes. New engine tech allows you to scrap the consumption to 20% from current ... 5 million barrels a day ... almost right away. But engines must be developed and tested first. 

Although traffics share from total consumption is rather small, traffic is the only sector, where you cannot replace oil. When world runs out of oil, delivery and distribution systems die. Besides distribution, food production without oil is doomed to decline into marginal levels. World rolls back to the times, when horses were used for food production and traffic.

In the oil production table - at the bottom - 2018 production was around 81 million barrels a day. From this number you can scrap over 10 million barrels from US production. In the table USA is not the only one with non-exiting production. 2018 production is certain to have fallen from around 80 million barrels to around 65 million barrels a day. When Texas and USA ran out of oil, US production has fallen around 10% in decade. Worldwide oil reserves started to decline in 2005. The recent world wide fall follows USA.

Due to final oil crisis oil price cannot fall for longer times, without major worldwide recession. It would be very stupid to sell your last oil reserves with bargain prices. Although ground oil belong natural recycling system, birth of oil field needs a major natural disaster. Disaster, which takes place at warmer ocean or sea side, and which kills all life from the future oil field area. Without major disaster, oil circles and changes it's form all the time.

Usage of ground oil is not without meaning. Consumption of ground oil brings back the lost life from our ecosystem. It makes the population expansion possible.  Ground oil consumption also transfer the life center into new areas. When so, in farming and sustainable oil production you should search and use new carbon sources for soil and fertilizer creation. Like mud at the ocean bottoms.

Consuming oil, water and food

The daily oil consumption-production is around 80 million barrels a day. It makes 29.2 billion barrels a year.

Earth's population consumes around 6 billion kilograms food per day. Daily water consumption is also around 6 billion kg. Announced daily oil consumption is around 10 billion kilograms per day.

Worldwide oil reserves are highly exaggerated. They are 1 800 billion barrels. With the current consumption, exaggerated and lied reserves last 70 years. In 2006 reserves were around 1 200 billion barrels.

When you scrap certain lies, the maximum is 40 years. The minimum brings the black death of our lifestyle into near future. With minimum, reserves are emptied in less than 10 years.

- - History of Final crisis - -

The current final oil crisis began at around 2005. In 2005 Norwegian North Sea oil reserves started to decline.

The decline and Asian emerging countries boost to oil consumption started to raise oil prices. In 2008 price peaked to $190 per barrel. The peak & fall was part of the reasons for the 2009 recession. 2009 recession is the 3rd biggest in recorded history. After recession oil price rose and stabilized to around $100 per barrel. Manmade Halloween Recession in 2014 halved the oil price to around $50 per barrel. Manmade 2014 Halloween Recession is the 2nd biggest in the recorded history.

- - Oil consumption - -

Oil was originally used in lights. First cars used lamp oil as their fuel. You could get lamp oil from almost shops.

After World War II oil started to spread in clothes. From clothes oil spread into almost everything. During 1960s oil replaced coal in heating and creation of electricity. Nowadays only around 20% from oil goes to traffic.

If world runs out of oil, traffic and vehicles doesn't have any realistic substitutes for oil. Lack of motorized vehicles kills almost everything from our world and current lifestyle. Way over half from world's population will starve to death, without motorized vehicles.

With R&D power booster you can reduces vehicles fuel consumption to less than 1/10th from current. Current for private cars around 7 liters / 100 km.

- - Replacements - -

All realistic replacements for the enormous ground oil consumption, including the massive electric power production, are here.

Time from launch date to first produced replacement barrel is 1 to 5 years. After that replacements need 5 to 20 years for growing into required production numbers.

Oil-from-Coal with CO2 furnaces is the easiest and fastest.

- - Halloween Notes - -

In 2006 the biggest singular reserves were Saudi Arabia's 300 billion barrel fields. The new 600 billion singular reserve was published during Halloween 2014 Recession. It was accompanied with recently falsified consumption-production statistics.

- - Oil creators - -

Animals and humans are the biggest oil creators in our world. Humans and animals fat layers are the same stuff than ground oil. Oil is liquidized form of sugar. The conversion needs water and heat. Fruits, seeds, etc. are another source of ground oil. But in functional ecosystem, animals eats the fruits and seeds.

- - Oil fields - -

Oil field needs water and heat or pressure. Typical location of bigger oil field is at deserted ocean side or former ocean side. Big oil field which is over 200 meters from sea level is very rare. Before continental splits, sea levels were around 100 meters higher than now.

When you go to sandy beach, you obviously see the source for ground oil. From the typical sand beach you find black stuff, this unnamed organic black stuff is the most likely source of ground oil.

Without water and heat, sugar converts into coal. Pressure from rocks-soil obviously makes the conversion.

In the nature heat, pressure changes and push-drag systems can convert common CxHx compounds to oil or coal.

When you look at the map, West Africa, south from Morocco, has undiscovered potential for bigger ground oil fields. All the other places have been checked.

- - Oil price and qualities - -

Oil's market price is the price, with what oil producers sell drilled and pre-distilled raw oil to other oil companies.

Driller-reseller gets the oil to gas pumps and other sold products with production cost of one barrel.

In traditional driller-reseller oil company, drilling and refining belong to costs, with what you set prices to sold products. Gasoline, diesel, etc.

After USA blamed Arabs from oil embargo in 1973, Arabian countries nationalized their oil fields.

They drove the companies - Exxon, Conoco-Phillips, BP, Shell, etc. - who set the embargo against the western world, away from their oil fields.

Due to the widespread nationalizations, there aren't many driller-reseller companies left. Western drillers has to buy lots of oil from new companies, which concentrates to drilling only.

- - 1973 Oil Embargo - -

Search of new oil fields began in mid 1960s, first under water fields were discovered in late 1960s.

Arabian oil field operators didn't react to declining US oil reserves and huge increase in consumption.

US reserves started to decline in early 1960s. After that US operators increased US pumping capacity with around 30% and emptied US fields at no time. Last increase to US drilling capacity was made in 1970 and in 1971 US fields started to dry quickly.

Since Arabian and foreign fields were left undeveloped, the remaining oil production couldn't respond to steadily growing demand. The demand went into oil prices. During 1970s oil price rose around 1500%. It rose from $2 to around $35.

US oil consumption peaked in late 1970s. 

In1979-80 USA obviously run out of money. US oil imports and consumption fell like a rock, country fell into recession. Closest US ally in Gulf area, Saudi Arabia, would've been capable of fulfilling word war specialists needs.

During the time Ronald Reagan was US president, USA struggled with deep recession. The recovery began in 1986. During his rule, Ronald Reagan was shot once, but he survived. 

After 8 year long Iran-Iraq war was over, oil production grew, oil prices fell. Falling prices made the recovery possible.*

1980s recession is wiped away from US stats. It shows in written stories, US ally Israel's economy. And also in many Latin American country's economy.

Soviets sold oil with fixed price to both east and west European countries. Cheap Soviet oil saved Europe and Europeans from the worst. Europeans were also urged to save oil and energy.

In 1994 US oil imports exceeded domestic oil production.

* In manmade, worldwide Halloween Recession 2014, demand fell and dropped the prices.

- - Oil Reserves - -

Oil field sizes are estimations. Usually these estimations are exaggerated. Knowledge from the actual size comes, when the field dries.

When national or global oil fields starts to dry, production, which is dependent on actual field sizes, tends to fall quickly.

Year 2006 was the first, when known worldwide oil reserves declined.

- - Raw oil qualities - -

Replacement refineries skips the cleaning and pre-distilled Brent and Crude qualities. 

The more expensive pre-distilled Brent oil has more energy than cheaper Crude Oil. The pre-distilled quality comes from quality of drilled ground oil.

In refining Brent brings you more end products than Crude.

- - Trading with USD - -

Oil is traded with US dollars. Typically US inflation raises oil prices. Typical oil producer sets the price of barrel in local currency.

In inflation currency's value weakens against other currencies. When US dollar weakens against other currencies, oil price gets a demand to raise.

- - Goal fields for Canada - -

Birth of ground oil field needs a warm-wet area and a major disaster. Disaster, that kills the life and leaves the dead plants and-or animals lying to ground.

At cold areas major disaster results into coal fields. Coal is solid result from sugar-oil conversion.*

At the ocean bottom, high pressure replaces the heat. Pressure converts sugar to oil, instead of heat.

Pressure and heat lives always together :
- Raise in pressure increases the temperatures and vice versa.
- Falling temperature lowers the pressure and vice versa.

Humans have used pressure-heat systems for ages, without fully understanding how it goes.

* These facts makes the Halloween Recession time Mickey Mouse Fan Club  discoveries in cold Canada and northern Russia impossible.

- - Financial Growth - -

Oil and electric power are essential for the economies. Financial growth without increased consumption is difficult to achieve.

When oil and power production are limited, like now, unit prices of oil and electric power follows the financial growth.

System is unfair to poor countries and countries in financial difficulties. When wealthy world grows and raises oil prices, poor and troubled country has to spend more money to their oil purchases. The purchases can result into nominal GDP growth, but domestic welfare is doomed to fall.

R&D oil and power solutions removes this connection. Increased consumption can always be fulfilled with new production and production capacity.

The current developments covers the world from equator to poles. In both oil and electric power production.

- - - -

When you look at politics, midgets and a-likes strong resistance and continuous attempts to get the licenses off-line, it seems, that their actions don't have any sense.

But after you upgrade your vision with evil and extremist Nazi ideology, the vision becomes crystal clear. In national socialism a small privileged group of people oppresses and enslaves all the other. Communist ideology misses this oppression system. In practice one-party system gets easily corrupted.

When this happens, the communism converts into national socialism  In National Communism active party members are the privileged class, which can live freely in prosperity, without a fear from getting captured and tortured.

In both capitalist and communist system, the leader's power is based on army's support. Army enforces the power of elected representatives. Army's primary loyalty goes to people and nation. Via this army's loyalty goes to the people, which are voted to hold the power. Without serious problems in democratic system, army never listens to civil servants, cops, judges, midgets, company owners, etc. Typical goal of military coup is to replace current power keeping system. All parties and most power keepers are discontinued. Replaced with new parties and people.

Thursday, 20th February 2020 - At the edge of the final oil crisis ?

In 1990 world consumed around 60 million barrels oil a day. At the same time natural gas production was 30 million logical oil barrels a day. Coal production was around 40 million logical oil barrels a day.

Fertilizer production was 90 million tons, and food production around 3 000 million tons. This fertilizer production is 3% from yearly harvest. When world population was 5.3 billions, the average daily portion was around 2 kg. 

Without chickens there was 3.8 domesticated animals. Sheep and goats, cows and pigs.

Fishes are rather small thing in our daily diet. In 1990s worldwide fishing was around 90 million tons. Meat 300 - 400 million tons. Potatoes 250 and corn 1 900 million tons. Vegetables 400 and fruits 350 million tons. Beans and soy beans were 125 million tons.

When divided to world population, paper-pulp production was 600 grams per capita. Consumption concentrates to developed countries.

Producer Production Share Prod 2018 Difference ... Producer Methane Share 2018
IVY
SaudiArabia
USA
Iran
Mexico
China
Venezuela
UAE
Norway
Canada
Nigeria
UK
Indonesia
Libya
Algeria
Kuwait
Egypt
Oman
Brazil
Malaysia
9.29
8.67
8.49
3.57
3.21
2.92
2.49
2.32
2.19
2.01
2.00
1.94
1.58
1.51
1.20
1.09
0.93
0.76
0.67
0.63
57.48
16.2
15.1
14.8
6.2
5.6
5.1
4.3
4.0
3.8
3.5
3.5
3.4
2.7
2.6
2.1
1.9
1.6
1.3
1.2
1.1
13,57
12,00
15,04
3,99
2,19
3,98
2,27
3,10
1,59
3,66
2,00
0,94
0,84
1,00
1,35
2,92
0,49
1,00
2,51
0,66
75,10
46,05
38,37
77,22
11,88
-31,72
36,19
-8,95
33,40
-27,52
82,26
-0,10
-51,60
-46,80
-33,81
12,59
166,95
-47,24
30,96
274,21
5,20
30,65
  IVY
USA
Canada
Netherlands
Algeria
UK
Indonesia
SaudiArabia
Norway
Mexico
Iran
UAE
Romania
Venezuela
Malaysia
Germany
Australia
Argentina
Italy
China
12.01
7.65
1.80
1.28
0.83
0.82
0.74
0.49
0.42
0.40
0.40
0.39
0.37
0.36
0.33
0.31
0.31
0.27
0.26
0.22
29.66
40.48
25.80
6.06
4.31
2.81
2.76
2.50
1.65
1.40
1.35
1.35
1.33
1.25
1.20
1.10
1.06
1.05
0.90
0.87
0.75
10,28
11,31
2,62
-
1,41
-
-
1,66
1,85
-
3,54
-
-
-
-
-
1,69
-
-
2,29
36,63

In the table you see top 20 oil and natural gas producers from 1990. Quite a many has given up from profitable production. Production is million barrels per day. Methane is converted into logical oil barrels. Share is from Top 20. IVY refers to Russia and old soviet countries. UAE is United Arab Emirates, it is at tip of Gulf Bay. Well known city Dubai is in UAE.

Prod 2018 shows the latest announced production. Difference shows the change from 1990. Didn't find current production for all listed gas producer countries.

- Europe has lost a lot from it's own oil production. 
- Without increase in Arabian production, world would be up it's ears in final oil crisis.
- In 2018 Iraq produced as much oil as Iran. With Iraq's production daily production raises to near 80 million barrels a day.
- American, Canadian and Brazilian huge growth numbers are not necessarily true.
- Gas production numbers are rather wild. 

Monday, 24th February 2020 - First stage of final oil crisis

Your assassination hasn't ended.
Not that I know. 

You cannot liquidize methane or natural gas.
Not directly. Methane's boiling point is so low, that in our temperatures it cannot exist in liquid form.

After 1992 Arabia's share from worldwide oil production has risen from 26% to 34%.
With Russia the share has risen from 42% to 51%. 

With North American Super Powers - USA and Canada - share has risen from 59% to 74%
The final oil crisis begins with production transfers to remaining producer countries. Those with lesser reserves cannot find new fields for replacing the dried fields. After an oil field dries, you can still get ethene gas from the field. Big increase in gas production hints, that you have recently emptied many bigger oil fields. Ethene from old oil field can be easily converted to liquid oil.

You could create oil from CO2 and water.
Lack of sufficient CO2 emissions is a small problem with this very efficient oil creation method.

With liquid engine, you could reduce traffic's oil consumption with big numbers.
Liquid fuel engine is good for global warming and climate change.

Typical for this winter has been straight forwarding cloud system in Europe. Clouds don't turbulate much, they come with almost straight line from Atlantic. Go to North-East. Few years ago there was that unexceptional Category 1 winter hurricane. It showed well in satellite photos.

With water booster and water tank, you can add humidity into air very quickly.
Good system for deserted or drought-driven areas near ocean or water. In Arabia and North Africa desert begins from the ocean side.  They miss Israel's and Lebanon's 50 km green slice.

Can you use explosives efficient reaction in engines ?
New combustion collector is a system, which uses vaporizing as source for energy. Liquid fuel and water booster enhances the process, with what you create heat for the collector. Liquid fuel and water booster can be added current combustion engine. The presented designs for combustion collector are also add-ons to current engine tech. In the future engines might look very different from current. You got to begin from old tech based systems.

In big ships you might want to use steam engine, which uses fuel for warming water, which is taken from the front with tubes. Steam engine is good power source for double piston propel. Cold ocean water needs preheating system.

Jet pack for planes got the water enhancers right in the beginning. In propel planes you can add the vaporizer into exhaust pipes. With in-air vaporizer you can add lift and thrust. Double engine propel plane, which has engines in the wings, provides you a chance to build jet like lift-thrust enhancers. Copter and copter car has combined thrust-lift system.

Combustion collector's rolling block is the most efficient way to build a turbine.  It misses common turbine's back forces. Rolling block suits to gas and liquid turbines. It's efficiency is very near straight piston system.

In principle the most efficient way to use closed vaporization system is to liquidize water, before taking the power from the process. In pressurized, horizontal steamer. you push the water to turbine with gas / water vapors.

November 6th 2019 - Doomsday ringing the bell at the door ?

Is the world going to end soon, to the collision of earth's core ?
Don't know. Core's can have unknown recharging system. Core's collision shows well in falling gravitation. No signs from such. Only from man made climate change. Climate change can put an end to the earthly life.

What should we do to power keepers, who tries ruin the world. Or extortion people with climate change's world end scenarios.
Kill or disable them otherwise. People are sentenced to death and life from less.

USA ran out of domestic oil very quickly. In around 5 years. There was only one early warning, before it happened. If world runs out of cheap ground oil, it will result into another kind of end of the world.
Kill or disable all trouble makers ?
Yes. Difficult to even imagine, what kind of a catastrophe, permanent quick fall would cause. On the other hand there is sugar-oil, wood-oil and coal-oil with what you can replace ground oil. Sustainable wood-oil has almost as much potential than sugar oil. Wood and coal oil can be produced commercially with current lack-boosted prices. Not with lack-free sugar oil prices.

In 2006, when worldwide reserves fell for the first time, US reserves had fallen to World War II levels.
Estimated once, that actual US reserves in 2006 were at the same levels with the end of 1920s.

You can never withdraw or make the energy and climate solutions impossible to acquire.
Haven't even thought of such.

- - - -

Our civilization ends after 10 years ?
Don't know, when the doomsday comes. It can come sooner or later. Estimations in Wikipedia were rather wild. You got the knowledge and tools by Christmas Guy's request to my powers and me. There is still time for resolving the problems, before the doomsday.

What if the doomsday goes due, the world end to it.
Not very likely. If doomsday comes as quickly as in diagram, I'm still alive. Hopefully in good condition. The day when earth runs out of oil, is the day, when revolutions and riots begin. After revolutions you can start to produce oil with licensed systems. The doomsday is a doomsday to evil, corrupted power keepers. Of all kinds.
Gods came to help us in our troubles. People in power refuses to listen and obey them.
Your favorites ... Boys young listeners and players ... have saved themselves.
Find the ideology behind the doomsday, where the current power keepers let the doomsday go due ... just like that, like always before. ... most welcomed and interesting. Most power keepers are young enough for guillotine.

You find that most welcomed and interesting ?
It's not my idea. When I tried, I couldn't figure this thing out. Observed the solution from Wikipedia. 
Remember initial Deca-Tech release. A year or two after the tech was slashed, it turned out, that you cannot speed up binary CPUs anymore.
You could use the wait time, next 10 years for recovering, vacationing, traveling and fun.
In London ?

4th Nov 2019 - Gods Wrath ?

Why do God revenge parents sins to 7th generation, kids are innocent.
One explanation might be such, that kids are innocent, but evil parents raises their kids to evil, bad habits. Clean up grows to nationwide levels, after evil, bad habits are promoted and taught in schools, newspapers, tv, internet, movies and everywhere.

After sinful parents crimes come into publicity, banned and hated kids often search help from religion. Such happened in wider scale in USA after north American Indian massacres, and in Germany after WWII.

Arabian countries have lots of cheap ground oil, the elixir of good and prosperous life, but USA and EU doesn't. Wonder why ?
The answer might lie in Africa. Allah has rewarded Arabs from charity in there, with some real-life additions to Arabian oil reserves. 
Serious ?
Yes. In warm, sunny climate, direct conversion from CO2 and H2O to oil and oxygen is possible. On the other hand, a group of worms, mice, rats and moles reproduces and consumes your oil fields very quickly. Ground oil field is candy-like treasure to them. Yam, yam.
 Conversion is exclusive to Gods and nature. Manmade system consumes more energy than it brings. And the oil is most important energy source in our world. Idea that you would power process with nuclear radiators and big dams is impossible.

With CO2 furnace, you can create oil from all organic materials. Even from trashes.
In principle yes. Possible that some CxHx compounds need catalyst and breaker chemicals. Besides forests, trashes have enough volume for bigger production. Others fall into windmill levels.
Trash oil would be cheap.
Might be possible to use trash-oil alongside with sugar-oil. Sugar-oil is usually too cheap to others. If you ever clean old junk-garbage yards, you have to vaporize the stuff. Might want to convert old trashes into oil.